Analyzing match statistics

It’s plausible that the head-to-head stat of 13 unbeaten holds some historical truth. To verify that, I’d recommend checking official sources or a head-to-head database. Looking at general analysis, Real Madrid has been strong, whereas Sevilla seems weaker recently, especially while playing away at Bernabeu. While I can't predict the match outcomes without specific data, I could talk about checking odds or probabilities. It's essential to stay neutral and not encourage gambling. You can verify details on platforms like Transfermarkt or Soccerway.Providing match insights
I can share the stats if they’re accurate and mention when Sevilla last won against Real Madrid. I think it was in 2018, but I'm not entirely sure. Recent seasons have shown Madrid’s dominance, with an unbeaten streak of about 10 matches being likely. To be safe, I can phrase it as, "If that stat is correct, it shows a trend." I should also consider factors like home advantage, injuries, and Sevilla's away defense. I need to clarify if the user wants a prediction or just confirmation.Estimating probabilities

I can provide an estimated probability based on head-to-head results and other factors. If there's an 85% win rate, we could factor in the ELO ratings, but since that's unknown, I might want to suggest looking at common odds which are typically 1.4 to 1.6 for Madrid's home games against Sevilla. That would imply about a 60-70% chance.
If the user is looking for confirmation or pre-match analysis, I can direct them to data sources like Transfermarkt or Soccerway. Alternatively, if they want predictions, I can create a Poisson model from previous seasons if they provide the latest data or odds.
这数据说的是趋势没错:近13次11胜2平=不败率100%、胜率约85%。但“稳不稳”要看当场,头对头优势不等于赛前概率。
建议这样判断

想核对这条13场数据
如果你想要胜率/比分预测,我可以基于两队近两季联赛进失球做个简易泊松模型,或用你手头的即时赔率换算隐含概率。你更想要哪种?
