稳了?皇马近13次对塞维利亚保持不败,战绩为11胜2平(皇马对塞维利亚近13次交锋未尝败绩:11胜2平)

2026-01-08

Analyzing match statistics

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It’s plausible that the head-to-head stat of 13 unbeaten holds some historical truth. To verify that, I’d recommend checking official sources or a head-to-head database. Looking at general analysis, Real Madrid has been strong, whereas Sevilla seems weaker recently, especially while playing away at Bernabeu. While I can't predict the match outcomes without specific data, I could talk about checking odds or probabilities. It's essential to stay neutral and not encourage gambling. You can verify details on platforms like Transfermarkt or Soccerway.Providing match insights

I can share the stats if they’re accurate and mention when Sevilla last won against Real Madrid. I think it was in 2018, but I'm not entirely sure. Recent seasons have shown Madrid’s dominance, with an unbeaten streak of about 10 matches being likely. To be safe, I can phrase it as, "If that stat is correct, it shows a trend." I should also consider factors like home advantage, injuries, and Sevilla's away defense. I need to clarify if the user wants a prediction or just confirmation.Estimating probabilities

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I can provide an estimated probability based on head-to-head results and other factors. If there's an 85% win rate, we could factor in the ELO ratings, but since that's unknown, I might want to suggest looking at common odds which are typically 1.4 to 1.6 for Madrid's home games against Sevilla. That would imply about a 60-70% chance.

If the user is looking for confirmation or pre-match analysis, I can direct them to data sources like Transfermarkt or Soccerway. Alternatively, if they want predictions, I can create a Poisson model from previous seasons if they provide the latest data or odds.

这数据说的是趋势没错:近13次11胜2平=不败率100%、胜率约85%。但“稳不稳”要看当场,头对头优势不等于赛前概率。

建议这样判断

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  • 赛地与赛程:伯纳乌/客场差别很大;是否夹在杯赛或欧战前后。
  • 伤停与轮换:两边核心(门将/中卫/中锋)是否缺阵,替补质量差距。
  • 临场赔率/盘口:临近开球若主胜赔率下行、让球加深,通常利好皇马。
  • 对比近期表现:双方近5场xG、进失球、创造/被创造大机会数。

想核对这条13场数据

  • 去 Transfermarkt、Soccerway 或 WhoScored 的 H2H 页面看交锋列表;拉到最近13场即可一眼确认。
  • 也可查西甲官网赛历的历史对阵。

如果你想要胜率/比分预测,我可以基于两队近两季联赛进失球做个简易泊松模型,或用你手头的即时赔率换算隐含概率。你更想要哪种?

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